The way I understand it:
1. Iran owns the Strait of Hormuz.
2. Iran is pissed about the EU’s embargo on Iranian oil.
3. So Iran is going to close the strait in retaliation, which will slow down or stop oil supplies and drive up oil prices.
So far everything makes sense. If a government doesn’t like what a country is doing, such as developing nuclear capabilities that may or may not be nuclear weapons, they can stop buying oil from that country. It’s their choice to pay more.
If Iran can’t sell much of their oil anyway and decides to incentivize other countries to buy their oil by closing a strait they own, that’s their prerogative.
Here’s where things get batshit insane.
Joint Chiefs of Staff chairman General Martin Dempsey said, “We’ve invested in capabilities to ensure that if that happens, we can defeat that.” That, or course, is Iran choosing, perfectly legally, to close their own strait.
And he’s not fucking around. As I type there are two U.S. aircraft carrier battle groups sit in the seas off the Iranian coast and there’s a new U.S. Commando team operating near Iran.
Governments are illegit, for sure. But as long as they exist, America is best served by respecting their sovereignty. Going around opening straits through brute force, violating Iran’s sovereignty, giving their people legit reasons to resent our violent military intervention into how they use their land and water will come back to bite us on the ass. And for what? So the EU can continue its embargo without much difficulty? Don’t you embargo in order to force a country to do your bidding without military involvement and national sovereignty violations? If you can’t run an embargo without violating national sovereignty, then just go ahead and go to war or give it up. But this chest-puffing bullshit has got to stop or shit’s going to get real on the playground and we’re going to be the ones at fault.